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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
34.77% ( -2.77) | 24.28% ( -0.72) | 40.95% ( 3.5) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 2.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 3.12) | 42.55% ( -3.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( 3.03) | 64.96% ( -3.03) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.12) | 58.34% ( 0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 3.12) | 20.91% ( -3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( 4.66) | 53.63% ( -4.65) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |