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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Rotherham logo

Burton Albion
4 - 2
Rotherham

Dadi Bodvarsson (8', 41'), Sweeney (39'), McKiernan (47')
McKiernan (27'), Armer (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sibley (2'), Green (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Burton Albion
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Charlton
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Rotherham United

Burton Albion should have some much-needed confidence from their return to winning ways on Tuesday, but they face a tough test against a Rotherham United side who finally appear to be making their quality count. Growing in momentum under Evans, we back the Millers to leave the Pirelli Stadium with three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
25.38% (-0.103 -0.1) 28.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 45.69% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 41.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.77% (-0.103 -0.1)64.23% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.65% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)83.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)42.18% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (-0.136 -0.14)78.6% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 25.37%
    Rotherham United 45.69%
    Draw 28.92%
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 15.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Rotherham

Burton Albion
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (39'), C (57')
Odofin (74')
Orsi (25'), Cooper Love (71')
Vancooten (54')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Borthwick-Jackson (3'), Brayford (69')
Kokolo (45'), Hamer (73')

Wood (52'), Rathbone (68')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
3-1
Burton Albion
Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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