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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Rotherham
4 - 2
Charlton

Green (9'), MacDonald (14'), Jules (45+4'), Wilks (53')
Bramall (72'), Wilks (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Leaburn (45'), Godden (90+2')
Coventry (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Charlton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton's dominance in this fixture gives them an edge, but Rotherham's strong league form and unbeaten streak make them tough to beat. Both sides have been consistent in recent weeks, and with neither wanting to lose ground in the standings, a draw seems the most likely outcome in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
39.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09) 26.66% (0.398 0.4) 33.39% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-1.387 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-1.724 -1.72)53.29% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-1.48 -1.48)74.85% (1.485 1.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.739 -0.74)26.17% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-1.004 -1)61.25% (1.008 1.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-1.163 -1.16)30.06% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-1.423 -1.42)66.19% (1.427 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 39.94%
    Charlton Athletic 33.39%
    Draw 26.65%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.94%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.334 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Charlton

Rotherham United
33.3%
Draw
29.2%
Charlton Athletic
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3.10pm
Gameweek 5
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Aneke (72')
Mitchell (43')
Kelly (58')
Evans (44')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Charlton
Dobson (55')
Famewo (43')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Washington (83')
Stockley (5'), Famewo (40'), Purrington (84')
Miller (45+2')
Wiles (42'), Smith (44'), Ihiekwe (50'), Barlaser (89')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Charlton
3-1
Rotherham
Zyro (28'), Aribo (54', 65')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Zyro (49'), Amos (90')
Wood (77')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
0-2
Charlton

Mattock (42'), Ihiekwe (47'), Vaulks (94')
Bauer (16'), Magennis (66')
Magennis (29'), Holmes (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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