Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.