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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
36.31% ( 0.01) | 25.65% ( 0.01) | 38.04% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% ( -0.04) | 48.63% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( -0.03) | 70.75% ( 0.04) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.01) | 26.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.01) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.03) | 25.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( -0.04) | 59.74% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |