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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bolton logo

Northampton
1 - 1
Bolton

Bowie (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendes Gomes (74')
Adeboyejo (23'), Sheehan (54'), Jones (90+1')
Evatt (24'), Thomason (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

Northampton's form appears to have hit a road block, but Brady will not be too concerned considering that they are almost certainly safe from relegation, which would have been their primary aim following promotion from League Two last season. Bolton, on the other hand, are aiming to be in the Championship later this year, but they are likely to require embarking on an impressive run at some point in order to achieve that. We can envisage them winning to nil on Saturday, with Evatt's side already winning six games on the road this season in this manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
22.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.56%52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41%76.59%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.1%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.11%
    Bolton Wanderers 52.32%
    Draw 25.56%
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-1 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bolton

Northampton Town
12.5%
Draw
6.3%
Bolton Wanderers
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Charles (8'), Williams (16')
Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Le Fondre (75' pen.), Morais (82')
Smith (57')
Richards (17'), Buchanan (51')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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