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Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowie (66' pen.)
Willis (53'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (26'), Freestone (66'), Long (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town

These are two teams in search of points for very different reasons, and that should lead to an interesting fixture to start the year. However, the quality of Northampton Town is likely going to be too much in this one, and should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
48.02% (-0.291 -0.29) 25.54% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 26.43% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.169 -0.17)51.8% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.15 -0.15)73.56% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)21.58% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.304 -0.3)54.67% (0.309 0.31)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (0.09 0.09)71.06% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.01%
    Cheltenham Town 26.43%
    Draw 25.53%
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
0-1
Northampton

Freestone (82')
Hoskins (88')
Bowie (14'), Guthrie (64')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
2-1
Northampton
Broom (19'), Varney (85')
Boyle (30'), Varney (87')
Watson (3')
Harriman (33'), Lines (63'), Wharton (77'), Morton (84')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-1
Cheltenham
Turnbull (38')
Turnbull (2'), Hoskins (14')
Thomas (3' pen.)
Greaves (55'), Sheaf (58'), Addai (95')
Addai (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4421101376542273
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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