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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (24')
Thomason (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradbury (45'), Clarke (46'), Harrop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
64.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01) 19.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 15.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.067 -0.07)40.2% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)11.64% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)36.67% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)38.86% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.95%
    Cheltenham Town 15.46%
    Draw 19.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Cheltenham Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cheltenham
0-3
Bolton

Davies (29'), Smith (39')
Charles (15', 33'), Smith (30' og.)
Ross Evatt (30'), Adeboyejo (57')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-0
Cheltenham
Dempsey (80')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Bolton
Broom (87')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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