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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
1 - 0
Cambridge

Woods (23')
Yfeko (45+2'), Woods (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loft (19'), Monk (20'), Andrew (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Cambridge United

 Neither side scores many goals, but Exeter are full of confidence at the moment - and that is in short supply as far as Cambridge are concerned. A home win is by far the most likely outcome, with the visitors left to contemplate at least another two weeks in last place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
60.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.11199999999999 0.11)49.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.102 0.1)71.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (0.071000000000005 0.07)42.26% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.57%
    Cambridge United 17.09%
    Draw 22.33%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.09%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Cambridge United
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Cambridge
Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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