We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City
While Wigan may view this contest as a must-not-lose, the visitors will see it as a must win. Taking that into consideration, we can see a low-scoring draw on the cards, the home side being far the happier as they edge away from the relegation zone.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.