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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
5 - 1
Peterborough

Jefferies (12'), Bayliss (33'), Draper (55' pen.), Hayes (66' og.), Collins (82')
Bayliss (39'), O'Connor (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jade-Jones (60')
Johnston (37'), De Havilland (56'), Susoho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Peterborough United

Given Peterborough's dire defensive record, Lincoln are likely to score at some point on Saturday. However, considering the Imps struggled against Northampton, they could be overpowered by the Posh and may find it difficult to recover should they concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
46.73% (0.183 0.18) 25.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.23 0.23)49.12% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.208 0.21)71.19% (-0.203 -0.2)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.179 0.18)21.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.273 0.27)53.84% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.03% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.73%
    Peterborough United 28.12%
    Draw 25.15%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Peterborough
1-1
Lincoln
Poku (65')
Collins (44'), Curtis (60'), Sparkes (90+7')
House (33')
Darikwa (52')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
0-0
Peterborough
Hackett (21')
Ferguson (22'), Burrows (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Ajiboye (52'), Randall (83')
Ajiboye (90+3')

Roughan (45'), Mandroiu (57')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Lincoln
0-3
Peterborough
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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