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Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Swindon Town

Considering their solid record at Wham Stadium so far this season, we are expecting Accrington to pick up at least a point from this fixture. Swindon are hovering above the danger zone in League Two, and we believe that the Robins will fail to earn anything from their trip to the 'Owd Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
30.85% (0.318 0.32) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 44.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.145 0.15)45.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.139 0.14)68.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.282 0.28)27.97% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.358 0.36)63.6% (-0.358 -0.36)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)20.64% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.126 -0.13)53.21% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.85%
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Draw 24.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
65.4%
Draw
19.2%
Swindon Town
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Chesterfield29119948341442
10Grimsby Town29133134045-542
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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