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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
30.85% (![]() | 24.69% (![]() | 44.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% (![]() | 45.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% (![]() | 68.03% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% (![]() | 27.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% (![]() | 63.6% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% (![]() | 20.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% (![]() | 53.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 7.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 60 |
5 | Notts County | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Port Vale | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Salford City | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 46 |
15 | Chesterfield | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 45 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |