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Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Swindon Town

Considering their solid record at Wham Stadium so far this season, we are expecting Accrington to pick up at least a point from this fixture. Swindon are hovering above the danger zone in League Two, and we believe that the Robins will fail to earn anything from their trip to the 'Owd Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
30.85% (0.318 0.32) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 44.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.145 0.15)45.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.139 0.14)68.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.282 0.28)27.97% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.358 0.36)63.6% (-0.358 -0.36)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)20.64% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.126 -0.13)53.21% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.85%
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Draw 24.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
65.4%
Draw
19.2%
Swindon Town
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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