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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 MK Dons

 AFC Wimbledon have struggled for goals since they sold Al-Hamadi to Ipswich Town, while they have also not won against MK Dons in the league since 2017. MK Dons head into the game in much better form than their opponents and with clinical Kemp leading the line, we back the Dons to record their first-ever league double over Wimbledon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
44.82% (-0.192 -0.19) 24.44% (0.169 0.17) 30.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.756 -0.76)44.6% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.97% (0.733 0.73)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.39 -0.39)20.02% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.631 -0.63)52.23% (0.629 0.63)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.48% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.467 -0.47)62.98% (0.465 0.46)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.82%
    MK Dons 30.74%
    Draw 24.43%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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