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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon have struggled for goals since they sold Al-Hamadi to Ipswich Town, while they have also not won against MK Dons in the league since 2017. MK Dons head into the game in much better form than their opponents and with clinical Kemp leading the line, we back the Dons to record their first-ever league double over Wimbledon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
44.82% (-0.192 -0.19) 24.44% (0.169 0.17) 30.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.756 -0.76)44.6% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.97% (0.733 0.73)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.39 -0.39)20.02% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.631 -0.63)52.23% (0.629 0.63)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.48% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.467 -0.47)62.98% (0.465 0.46)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.82%
    MK Dons 30.74%
    Draw 24.43%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Accrington StanleyAccrington00000000
2AFC Wimbledon00000000
3BarrowBarrow00000000
4Bradford CityBradford00000000
5Bromley00000000
6Carlisle UnitedCarlisle00000000
7Cheltenham TownCheltenham00000000
8Chesterfield00000000
9Colchester UnitedColchester00000000
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe00000000
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster00000000
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood00000000
13Gillingham00000000
14Grimsby Town00000000
15Harrogate TownHarrogate00000000
16MK Dons00000000
17Morecambe00000000
18Newport CountyNewport00000000
19Notts County00000000
20Port Vale00000000
21Salford City00000000
22Swindon TownSwindon00000000
23Tranmere RoversTranmere00000000
24Walsall00000000


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