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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon have struggled for goals since they sold Al-Hamadi to Ipswich Town, while they have also not won against MK Dons in the league since 2017. MK Dons head into the game in much better form than their opponents and with clinical Kemp leading the line, we back the Dons to record their first-ever league double over Wimbledon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
44.82% (-0.192 -0.19) 24.44% (0.169 0.17) 30.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.756 -0.76)44.6% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.97% (0.733 0.73)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.39 -0.39)20.02% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.631 -0.63)52.23% (0.629 0.63)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.48% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.467 -0.47)62.98% (0.465 0.46)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.82%
    MK Dons 30.74%
    Draw 24.43%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Mansfield TownMansfield442313887454282
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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