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Wrexham AFC
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Wrexham AFC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.65% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Wrexham

MK Dons
41.0%
Draw
17.9%
Wrexham
41.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wrexham
3-5
MK Dons
Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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