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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
3 - 1
Bradford

Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
FT
(aet)
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-1 Bradford City (Bradford win 2-1 on aggregate)

Carlisle will give it their absolute all with a place in the playoff final on the line, but Bradford have shown that they know how to get the job done away from home all season. As such, we expect the visitors to pick up a draw, which will be enough to book their place at Wembley on May 28th. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
36.62% (0.195 0.2) 28.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 35.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.08% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.10600000000001 0.11)30.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.124 0.12)66.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.145 -0.14)31.42% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.168 -0.17)67.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.61%
    Bradford City 35.32%
    Draw 28.06%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Bradford City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle

Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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