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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
31.47% (![]() | 25.7% (![]() | 42.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% (![]() | 49.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% (![]() | 71.86% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% (![]() | 29.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.34% (![]() | 65.66% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% (![]() | 23.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 8.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 12.2% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 60 |
5 | Notts County | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Port Vale | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Salford City | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 46 |
15 | Chesterfield | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 45 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |