Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
40.29% ( 0.09) | 27.7% ( 0) | 32.01% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% ( -0.04) | 57.61% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( -0.03) | 78.38% ( 0.03) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( 0.03) | 28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.04) | 63.65% ( -0.04) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.08) | 33.2% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( -0.09) | 69.8% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |