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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Colchester
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Hopper (5'), Akinde (79')
Hornby (73'), Iandolo (75')
Dallison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Obikwu (48'), Mullarkey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Colchester
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Grimsby Town

Colchester will be full of confidence following Saturday's win at Crawley, but we cannot envisage the U's winning back-to-back matches in League Two. There is a similar school of thought for Grimsby, who are unlikely to be victorious in successive outings after winning just once on the road previously, meaning that a share of the spoils is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
35.25% (-2.526 -2.53) 25.39% (-0.251 -0.25) 39.36% (2.779 2.78)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (1.015 1.01)47.58% (-1.011 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.932 0.93)69.78% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.955 -0.95)26.15% (0.957 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.298 -1.3)61.22% (1.3 1.3)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (1.968 1.97)23.89% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (2.739 2.74)58.09% (-2.737 -2.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 35.25%
    Grimsby Town 39.36%
    Draw 25.39%
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.571 -0.57)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.332 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.373 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.444 0.44)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.395 0.4)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.369 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.196 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.214 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.185 0.19)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.36%

How you voted: Colchester vs Grimsby Town

Colchester United
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Grimsby Town
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Grimsby Town
2-3
Colchester
Goodman (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Andrews (39')
Taylor (11'), Mitchell (35'), Read (64')
Mitchell (22'), Dallison (60'), Egbo (66')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Grimsby Town
0-0
Colchester
Matete (25')
Pell (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Colchester
2-1
Grimsby Town
Smith (8'), Harriott (56')
Gambin (63'), Eastman (87')
Hendrie (23')
Pollock (2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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