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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Gillingham

Crawley
0 - 0
Gillingham

FT

Ehmer (18'), Gbode (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Gillingham

Crawley have been in good form since Young replaced Betsy in their managerial dugout last month, and we can envisage their winning home run continuing on Tuesday. Gillingham have lost four league matches in a row without scoring in any of them, and while the latter could end against the division's second weakest defence, the former streak may continue a little longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
45.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.84%
    Gillingham 27.56%
    Draw 26.59%
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Crawley vs Gillingham

Crawley Town
74.3%
Draw
8.6%
Gillingham
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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