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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
2 - 1
Newport

Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Nichols (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47'), Norman (64'), Moriah-Welsh (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Newport County

Neither club has started their individual seasons brightly, and both will be searching for three points this weekend in a bid to start building some momentum. However, the fact that each team is low on confidence is something that could lead to cautious play, resulting in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
28.52% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 45.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.026 0.03)75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.067 0.07)57.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.52%
    Newport County 45.18%
    Draw 26.29%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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