We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Newport County
Neither club has started their individual seasons brightly, and both will be searching for three points this weekend in a bid to start building some momentum.
However, the fact that each team is low on confidence is something that could lead to cautious play, resulting in a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.