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AFC Fylde
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Gillingham

Fylde
1 - 1
Gillingham

Walker (83')
Bird (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandron (45+3')
O'Keefe (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fylde and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fylde 1-0 Gillingham

Fylde have proven to be a tough nut to crack on their own patch of late, while Gillingham have struggled massively on the road recently. We expect a close game here nonetheless with the home side just about coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawGillingham
32.08% (0.093 0.09) 25.01% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 42.92% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.66% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (0.107 0.11)46.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (0.102 0.1)68.89% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.111 0.11)27.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.144 0.14)63.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.017999999999994 0.02)54.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 32.08%
    Gillingham 42.92%
    Draw 25%
FyldeDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.92%

How you voted: Fylde vs Gillingham

Fylde
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Gillingham
27.3%
11
rhs 2.0
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