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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton United

This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again. However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
48.07% (-0.204 -0.2) 26.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.5% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.191 -0.19)55.83% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.155 -0.16)76.95% (0.155 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.173 -0.17)23.25% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.253 -0.25)57.17% (0.254 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.07%
    Sutton United 25.5%
    Draw 26.42%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.5%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
0-1
Gillingham

Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cardinals
9-13
Rams
6pm
Jets
@
Bills
6pm
Panthers
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Colts
@
Giants
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Titans
@
Jags
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Raiders
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Saints
9.25pm
Packers
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9.05pm
Dolphins
@
Browns
6pm
Cowboys
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2Notts County22107535241137
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
4Port Vale2310762724337
5Grimsby Town23121103334-137
6Salford City2210662619736
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
8AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917


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