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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Sutton United |
48.07% ( -0.2) | 26.43% ( 0.08) | 25.5% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% ( -0.19) | 55.83% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( -0.16) | 76.95% ( 0.16) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.17) | 23.25% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.25) | 57.17% ( 0.25) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( 0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( 0.01) | 74.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
2 | Notts County | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Port Vale | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 37 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 37 |
6 | Salford City | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
9 | Chesterfield | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 34 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
12 | Bromley | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 31 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 27 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Morecambe | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 17 |
> League Two Full Table |