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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Crawley


Ehmer (12'), Malone (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (24'), Roles (71')
Wright (24'), Darcy (45+3'), Maguire (63'), Campbell (73'), Adeyemo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley Town

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture of late, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit. That said, we are backing Gillingham to get the better of their visitors and carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
42.02% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.43% (0.111 0.11) 32.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)48.31% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.418 -0.42)70.46% (0.417 0.42)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.298 -0.3)22.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.44 -0.44)56.62% (0.439 0.44)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.14% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.212 -0.21)63.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 42.02%
    Crawley Town 32.55%
    Draw 25.43%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crawley

Gillingham
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-1
Gillingham

Kelly (53'), Darcy (90+6'), Addai (90+6')
Ransom (40' og.)
Ogie (3'), Alexander (90+3'), Malone (90+4')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
11.30pm
Chiefs
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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