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Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Notts County

Grimsby Town
vs.
Notts County

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 4 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two

We say: Grimsby Town 1-2 Notts County

Despite just three points separating these two teams, they are on contrasting runs of form. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to battle their way to an important victory at Blundell Park, potentially through a fast start to the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%).

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
42.16% (0.286 0.29) 24.57% (-0.032 -0.03) 33.27% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07)44.25% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.067 0.07)66.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.161 0.16)21.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.252 0.25)53.87% (-0.254 -0.25)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.121 -0.12)25.73% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (-0.161 -0.16)60.66% (0.159 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 42.16%
    Notts County 33.27%
    Draw 24.57%
Grimsby TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.27%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Notts County
4-1
Grimsby Town
Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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