Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.