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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Morecambe

Mansfield
3 - 0
Morecambe

Akins (45+1', 87' pen.), Keillor-Dunn (62')
Cargill (63'), Lewis (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKiernan (45'), Love (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe

 This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
59.42% (-0.102 -0.1) 22.41% (0.044 0.04) 18.17% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (-0.105 -0.11)47.83% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.096 -0.1)70.01% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)15.72% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-0.128 -0.13)44.81% (0.129 0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 59.41%
    Morecambe 18.17%
    Draw 22.4%
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.17%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Mansfield
1-0
Morecambe
Bowery (41')
Sweeney (21')

Gibson (20'), Lavelle (45'), Mellor (72')
Oct 20, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Phillips (3')
Phillips (35'), Lavelle (50'), Cooney (82')
Charsley (26')
McLaughlin (29')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Kenyon (86')
Riley (60')
Watts (50')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
 Morecambe win 6-5 on penalties
Pearce (57'), Sterling-James (68')
Smith (5'), Rose (81')
Old (18', 59')
Oates (7'), Tanner (32'), Halstead (79')
Conlan (22')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
Maynard (39'), Rose (72')
Preston (36'), Cook (93')
Preston (82')
Lavelle (4'), Alessandra (21')
Tutte (28'), Buxton (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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