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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
St James Park
Morecambe

Exeter
3 - 2
Morecambe

Stansfield (49', 57', 70')
Borges (73'), Sweeney (77'), Kite (83'), Caprice (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockton (53', 90+14')
Weir (79'), Major (81'), Hunter (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Morecambe

Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day. Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
63.02% (-1.921 -1.92) 20.82% (0.766 0.77) 16.15% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-1.15 -1.15)44.4% (1.148 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-1.124 -1.12)66.77% (1.121 1.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-0.916 -0.92)13.46% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-1.862 -1.86)40.45% (1.86 1.86)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (0.816 0.82)40.54% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (0.73 0.73)77.14% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 63.02%
    Morecambe 16.15%
    Draw 20.82%
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: Exeter vs Morecambe

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Exeter
Stockton (34')
O'Connor (25')
Key (36')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 26
Exeter
0-2
Morecambe

Maxted (8')
Phillips (9' pen.), Stockton (66')
Phillips (56'), Diagouraga (85'), Cooney (90+2')
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 11
Morecambe
2-2
Exeter
Mendes Gomes (41'), Hendrie (45+1')
Randall (33'), Taylor (72')
Randall (65')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
Alessandra (45', 63')
Lavelle (80')
Lavelle (91')
Taylor (21'), Martin (25'), Law (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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