Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
61.62% ( 0.93) | 21.16% ( -0.25) | 17.22% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( -0.08) | 44% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( -0.08) | 66.38% ( 0.07) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% ( 0.26) | 13.75% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.96% ( 0.51) | 41.04% ( -0.52) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.01% ( -0.86) | 38.98% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% ( -0.82) | 75.71% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |