MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 01:55:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MK Dons

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons

There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
29.93% (-0.21 -0.21) 24.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.11% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.004999999999999 0)69.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.14 -0.14)29.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.174 -0.17)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.107 0.11)21.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.166 0.17)53.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.93%
    MK Dons 45.11%
    Draw 24.95%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons

Morecambe
23.1%
Draw
19.2%
MK Dons
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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