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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Sutton United

Although MK Dons will have one eye on the playoffs, the hosts are likely to use Saturday's match as a warm-up game ahead of the upcoming race for promotion. Sutton have won just four times on the road this season in 22 attempts, meaning that a safety-clinching victory in Buckinghamshire is unlikely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
54.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.49% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.42% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)27.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.1%
    Sutton United 24.42%
    Draw 21.49%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
1-1
MK Dons
Sowunmi (37')
Gilbey (53')
Williams (71')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
MK Dons
1-0
Sutton
Grant (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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