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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
41.64% ( 0.02) | 23.39% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 63.42% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.81% ( 0.02) | 38.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( 0.02) | 60.46% ( -0.02) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( 0.02) | 18.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% ( 0.03) | 50.16% ( -0.03) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0) | 21.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( -0) | 55.21% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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