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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
23.74% ( -0.2) | 23.31% ( -0.11) | 52.96% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( 0.27) | 44.68% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.26) | 67.04% ( -0.25) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( -0.03) | 32.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( -0.03) | 69.34% ( 0.03) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% ( 0.21) | 16.85% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% ( 0.37) | 46.85% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.74% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |