Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.