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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Gillingham |
40.62% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( 0.01) | 35.23% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% ( -0.06) | 41.84% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% ( -0.06) | 64.24% ( 0.06) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( 0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 0.05) | 53.39% ( -0.05) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.1) | 23.48% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( -0.14) | 57.49% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Gillingham |
2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |