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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Crawley Town

Wrexham
4 - 1
Crawley

Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-2 Crawley Town

Tuesday's game is undoubtedly far from straightforward to call. The home side's ambition to end in the top two positions means you are inclined to back them, but Crawley's four-game goal-laden away winning streak causes you to err on the side of caution. The spoils could be shared in the re-arranged match at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
52.95% (1.394 1.39) 22.98% (-0.56 -0.56) 24.08% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.958 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (1.699 1.7)42.87% (-1.701 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (1.665 1.67)65.27% (-1.665 -1.67)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (1.125 1.13)16.19% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (2.01 2.01)45.67% (-2.011 -2.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.22499999999999 0.22)31.5% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.259 0.26)67.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 52.95%
    Crawley Town 24.08%
    Draw 22.97%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.213 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.132 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.394 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Crawley Town
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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