Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
49.9% ( 0.07) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 26.3% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( 0.03) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( 0.03) | 66.91% ( -0.02) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( 0.04) | 17.93% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( 0.07) | 48.75% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( -0.03) | 30.61% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( -0.03) | 66.84% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |