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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Wrexham AFC

Sutton
1 - 2
Wrexham

Lakin (76')
Adom-Malaki (7'), Eastmond (51'), Sanderson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyle (45+3'), Lee (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-1 Wrexham

There will be big pressure on Wrexham head coach Parkinson to deliver a positive result here, and we are expecting this to be a nervy affair. The Welsh outfit can call upon the superior quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
39.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 34.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)49.97% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.86% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)63.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.55%
    Wrexham 34.54%
    Draw 25.91%
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Wrexham

Sutton United
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wrexham
2-1
Sutton
Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
O'Brien (59')
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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