Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
33.82% (![]() | 26.98% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% (![]() | 54.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% (![]() | 75.85% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% (![]() | 30.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% (![]() | 66.57% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% (![]() | 27.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% (![]() | 62.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 12.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |