Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
42% ( 0.45) | 24.83% ( -0.13) | 33.16% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% ( 0.51) | 45.51% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% ( 0.48) | 67.84% ( -0.48) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( 0.43) | 21.67% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% ( 0.66) | 54.81% ( -0.66) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.05) | 26.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.07) | 61.56% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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