Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
33.82% ( 0) | 26.98% ( 0.02) | 39.2% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( -0.08) | 54.49% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( -0.07) | 75.85% ( 0.07) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.04) | 30.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.05) | 66.57% ( 0.05) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% ( -0.05) | 27.14% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% ( -0.07) | 62.53% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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