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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Chaves

Vizela
0 - 1
Chaves


Quina (59'), Lebedenko (61'), Goncalves (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (29' og.)
Guzzo (59'), Morim (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Portimonense
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 2-1 Chaves

While both these sides have been incredibly poor over the course of the season, Vizela have to be favoured here owing to this being a home game. They have also found some goalscoring form at Estadio Do Vizela lately, notching up five goals in their last three games, and we feel that they will be able to outscore Chaves, who have failed to find the back of the net in three of their last four on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
VizelaDrawChaves
40.76% (0.91 0.91) 26.15% (0.277 0.28) 33.09% (-1.186 -1.19)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-1.208 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-1.424 -1.42)51.29% (1.426 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-1.256 -1.26)73.12% (1.259 1.26)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)24.83% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.232 -0.23)59.41% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-1.446 -1.45)29.27% (1.447 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-1.812 -1.81)65.23% (1.813 1.81)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 40.76%
    Chaves 33.09%
    Draw 26.15%
VizelaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.516 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.406 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.09%

How you voted: Vizela vs Chaves

Vizela
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Chaves
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Chaves
2-1
Vizela
Hernandez (30' pen.), Jo (48')
Nogueira (8'), Vitoria (15'), Pedro (37'), Nwakali (45+3'), Victor (89')
Essende (12')
Nascimento (21'), Ortiz (67'), Samu (87')
Wilson (90+9')
Feb 10, 2023 8.15pm
Nov 22, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Vizela
2-2
Chaves
Etim (35'), Guzzo (75')
Singh (33'), Abass (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 3
Chaves
1-1
Vizela
Hernandez (8')
Vitoria (16'), Teixeira (62'), Juninho (68'), Morim (80')
Teixeira (71')
Zohi (40')
Guzzo (21'), Zohi (84'), Claudemir (89'), Bondoso (90+4'), Isaac (90+7')
Sarmiento (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AroucaArouca00000000
2AVS00000000
3Benfica00000000
4BoavistaBoavista00000000
5Casa Pia00000000
6Estoril PraiaEstoril00000000
7Estrela Amadora00000000
8FamalicaoFamalicao00000000
9SC FarenseFarense00000000
10Gil Vicente00000000
11MoreirenseMoreirense00000000
12Nacional00000000
13Porto00000000
14Rio AveRio Ave00000000
15Santa ClaraSanta Clara00000000
16Braga00000000
17Sporting Lisbon00000000
18Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes00000000


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