Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
31.28% | 27.92% | 40.8% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.86% | 79.14% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% | 70.91% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% | 63.87% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |