Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
