Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
We said: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Marseille have looked anything but convincing at home this season, but they are coming up against a Monegasque team who were left frustrated and fatigued in mid-week, so we project a stalemate on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
38.12% ( -3.17) | 24.33% ( -0.18) | 37.54% ( 3.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
