Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
43.97% (![]() | 24.66% (![]() | 31.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% (![]() | 45.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% (![]() | 67.7% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% (![]() | 20.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% (![]() | 53.33% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% (![]() | 27.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% (![]() | 62.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
2-1 @ 9.11% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.48% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 43 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |