Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
24.25% ( 0.72) | 23.98% ( 0.45) | 51.76% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( -1.26) | 47.12% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -1.18) | 69.36% ( 1.18) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( -0.06) | 33.67% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( -0.07) | 70.32% ( 0.07) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( -0.91) | 18.2% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% ( -1.57) | 49.2% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |