Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.