Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.22% ( 1.77) | 21.61% ( -0.08) | 50.17% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 66.56% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% ( 1.87) | 32.61% ( -1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.72% ( 2.14) | 54.28% ( -2.14) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( 2.14) | 23.08% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( 3.04) | 56.91% ( -3.04) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.13) | 13.47% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.26) | 40.46% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |