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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 4
PSG

Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
28.22% (1.77 1.77) 21.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 50.17% (-1.689 -1.69)
Both teams to score 66.56% (1.944 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (1.873 1.87)32.61% (-1.874 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (2.135 2.14)54.28% (-2.136 -2.14)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (2.136 2.14)23.08% (-2.137 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (3.035 3.04)56.91% (-3.036 -3.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.12700000000001 0.13)13.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (0.256 0.26)40.46% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 28.22%
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%
    Draw 21.61%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.206 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.237 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.578 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.609 -0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.49% (0.179 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.113 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
15.4%
Draw
10.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.8%
65
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
2-1
Lyon
Neymar (66' pen.), Icardi (90+2')
di Maria (6'), Marquinhos (67'), Mendes (89')
Paqueta (54')
Lopes (80')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
2-4
PSG
Slimani (62'), Cornet (81')
Kadewere (40'), Diomande (90+1')
Mbappe (15', 52'), Pereira (32'), Di Maria (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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