We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nice
PSG may be without a couple of first-team regulars in Kimpembe and Verratti, but with all due respect to Nice, breaking down a backline comprising 38-year-old Dante and 20-year-old newcomer Viti should not be a problem for Messi and co.
Nice have been able to keep things tight in defence throughout the season, but a lack of attacking ingenuity should be their downfall once again, as Galtier gets the last laugh over his former club.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.