Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.